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1. Embed this notice
   Len (hyperlynx@aus.social)'s status on Saturday, 18-Jul-2026 22:46:40 JST Len

   in reply to

   @mattblaze mate, I vote for progressive candidates, donate big chunks of my money to progressive causes. I recycle. I do everything I fucking can to do things right.

   I have no more energy left to get outraged at problems on the other side of the world I can do nothing to help. I am burned out.

   So if you or anyone else posts untagged, unCW'd, unfilterable politics about causes I can't do a damn thing about other than get upset about, you go on the naughty list.

   And I get this shit bubble up in the trending page?

   In conclusion: fuck you too, buddy!

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   Wladimir Palant (wpalant@infosec.exchange)'s status on Saturday, 18-Jul-2026 21:55:41 JST Wladimir Palant

   Content warnings serve a purpose. Yes, that includes politics.

   You may feel that a topic is too important to “hide” it. But please understand that people are currently getting bombarded by horrible politics news from all directions. This is not sustainable, and it’s often a choice between muting this at least temporarily or burning out.

   So: please don’t be an asshole and use content warnings. Get down from your privileged horse. People ask for them for a reason, not to annoy you or to downplay the importance.

   (I fully acknowledge that I don’t always think about this. But I try.)

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   Jamez Barrett 🜃 ॐ Ⓐ (didgebaba@c.im)'s status on Monday, 30-Mar-2026 10:35:38 JST Jamez Barrett 🜃 ॐ Ⓐ

   J.P. Morgan’s supply-chain mapping suggests the last pre-disruption Persian Gulf cargoes hit South-East Asia, South Asia and East Africa by about 1 April, Europe by about 10 April, and the US by about 15 April. Australia's is due by 20 April... after those dates, the absence of replenishment becomes much harder to hide.

   The Strait of Hormuz disruption is not just about crude. Analysts and logistics reporting say it also hits LNG, LPG, petrochemicals, methanol, plastics feedstocks and helium, which means the pain doesn’t stop at the bowser. It runs through manufacturing, freight, construction inputs, chemicals and tech supply chains as inventories thin out.

   So the sequence is roughly this:

   First, people panic locally.
   Then wholesalers and retailers start paying up to secure supply.
   Then inventories that were already on the water get delivered.
   Then the pipeline starts running dry.
   That is when the shock stops being a story for traders and shipping nerds and starts becoming obvious to everyone else.

   Australia sits in that early wave. The map’s timing lines up with reports that parts of Asia have already been scrambling for replacement cargoes, with even unusual US Gulf Coast-to-Australia distillate routes being used to plug gaps.

   And if the disruption drags on, this stops being about “higher prices” and becomes about allocation.

   Who gets fuel.
   Who pays more.
   Which industries keep moving.
   Which ones start slowing, rationing, or passing costs straight through to households.

   Barclays says that the Hormuz disruption could remove 13 - 14 million barrels a day from global supply, while Kpler says cumulative losses could exceed 400 million barrels by mid-April if flows don’t normalise.

   So yes, shortages so far have been partly behavioural... fear, stockpiling, domestic scrambling.
   But the actual physical supply problem has yet to come.

   For our part of the world, the cliff edge is very close. By mid-April, the “surely they’ll sort it out” phase gives way to the “oh, this is real” phase. Europe follows. The US later, but still not immune, especially through price rather than outright physical scarcity.

   In other words... the panic buying is the opening act.
   The real show starts when the ships stop arriving.

   From The Gerk https://substack.com/@snarkygherkin/note/c-234844710?utm_source=notes-share-action

   #IranWar

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   goatsarah (goatsarah@thegoatery.dyndns.org)'s status on Saturday, 21-Mar-2026 22:12:21 JST goatsarah

   Just seen someone saying they support bans on trans healthcare for under 18s because “let kids be kids”.

   By the time I hit puberty, I had KNOWN for a decade.

   I also knew that telling anyone would be profoundly dangerous.

   So I hid who I was and, am almost grateful that the neurodivergence gave the other kids something else to latch on to. They were so busy calling me a “mong” that they didn’t notice I was trans.

   Because that might have got me murdered.

   Or pushed me into a position where I felt I had no options other than the same end result.

   So I hid it.

   And I hid it really well.

   And one of the things that happens when a 5 year old child is terrified of their parents, or their families, or the school bullies finding out who they really are is that they end up traumatised.

   A 5 year old child. Traumatised and ashamed.

   Ashamed because adults openly talked about them.

   Or people like them.

   And what they said was horrific. What they said made it very clear that they would regard their own kids as subhuman monsters if they ever found out.

   So we hid. And an important part of ourselves died in childhood. A light that should have shone, went out.

   I’ve tried my best to rekindle it.

   I’ve managed somewhat but it will never be right. Not really. I’ve made peace with that.

   “Let kids be kids”. Trans kids like me never got to be.

   Because of people who say things like that.

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   WikiPathways (wikipathways@fosstodon.org)'s status on Thursday, 19-Mar-2026 23:23:42 JST WikiPathways

   hi, scrapers have been crawling the classic website for more than half a year now. We are trying to keep it at manageable levels, but our options are running out.

   So, right now, we had to enable the "under attack" mode of @cloudflare

   This likely breaks the webservice... but we first need to get the system to recover a bit more before we can further tweak anti-AI-crawlers.

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   Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Monday, 16-Feb-2026 05:34:15 JST Paul Cantrell

   in reply to

   @griotspeak I think often of a story my composer friend Todd Harper told of the days when he taught 4th grade.

   He brought in a piece music every day to play for the kids — widely varied in style, origin, and era, almost always something unfamiliar to them.

   One day he brought in an Erik Satie march that they all •hated•. It’s a sort of wildly repetitive and maddening, bores its way into your brain, and the kids flipped out.

   So he started playing it again every day.

   2/