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Table 6: Possible impacts from genetic selection in different scenarios. The first scenario is "IVF+, or selection of 1 of 2 embryos." Bostrom writes that if this gets 90% adoption, then "Learning disability much less frequent ... in second generation population of above high IQ thresholds more than doubled." In the next scenario, "Aggressive IVF, or selection of 1 of 10 embryos," the result of 90% adoption is "substatial growth in educational attainment, income." The third scenario is "In vitro egg, or selection of 1 of 100 embryos," the result of 90% adoption is "raw IQs for eminent scientists 10+ as common in 1st generation. Thousands of times in 2nd generation." The final scenario, "iterated embryo selection," involves selecting desirable genetic traits from embryos, converting them into sperm/ova, then creating a new embryo, extracting desirable genetic traits, and so forth, until you've created a super embryo. Bostrom writes that even if only .25% of the population does this, we might have an "intellectual renaissance." If there's 90% adoption, we have "posthumanity."

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Table 6: Possible impacts from genetic selection in different scenarios. The first scenario is "IVF+, or selection of 1 of 2 embryos." Bostrom writes that if this gets 90% adoption, then "Learning disability much less frequent ... in second generation population of above high IQ thresholds more than doubled." In the next scenario, "Aggressive IVF, or selection of 1 of 10 embryos," the result of 90% adoption is "substatial growth in educational attainment, income." The third scenario is "In vitro egg, or selection of 1 of 100 embryos," the result of 90% adoption is "raw IQs for eminent scientists 10+ as common in 1st generation. Thousands of times in 2nd generation." The final scenario, "iterated embryo selection," involves selecting desirable genetic traits from embryos, converting them into sperm/ova, then creating a new embryo, extracting desirable genetic traits, and so forth, until you've created a super embryo. Bostrom writes that even if only .25% of the population does this, we might have an "intellectual renaissance." If there's 90% adoption, we have "posthumanity."
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Annalee Newitz 🍜 (annaleen@wandering.shop)'s status on Monday, 13-Mar-2023 23:02:39 JST Annalee Newitz 🍜

This is a chart from Nick Bostrom's book Superintelligence, which @charliejane and I will be discussing tomorrow on @ouropinions. In it, he casually suggests that a rigorous eugenics program will result in an "intellectual renaissance." This fits nicely with a later passage in the book (which we also discuss on the pod), where he suggests that AI developers create "voluntary slaves," based on human slaves in history. #OurOpinionsAreCorrect #podcasts #superintelligence #eugenics

In conversation Monday, 13-Mar-2023 23:02:39 JST from wandering.shop permalink