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Manyika: I'll just say: let's take the bet. Some of those predictions were made two years ago — that in two years, 50% of jobs would be wiped out. Well, two years is up. Let's take a look. And anybody who makes that prediction for two years from now, I'm willing to take the bet.

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Manyika: I'll just say: let's take the bet. Some of those predictions were made two years ago — that in two years, 50% of jobs would be wiped out. Well, two years is up. Let's take a look. And anybody who makes that prediction for two years from now, I'm willing to take the bet.
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Casey Newton (caseynewton@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 20-May-2026 12:26:36 JST Casey Newton

Almost a decade ago, James Manyika bet that tasks would be easy to automate — but jobs wouldn't. Now at Google, he says he's willing to bet against Microsoft, Anthropic, and any other company whose execs say a bloodbath is coming for white-collar work https://www.platformer.news/james-manyika-google-ai-jobs-io-2026/

In conversation about 5 months ago from mastodon.social permalink