Artist's impression of asteroid 2024 YR4

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   Fraser Cain (fraser@m.universetoday.com)'s status on Thursday, 30-Jan-2025 07:37:11 JST Fraser Cain

   Astronomers have announced the discovery of a new asteroid with a non-zero chance of striking the Earth on December 22, 2032. Designated 2024 YR4, the space rock measures between 40 m and 100 m across, which would create regional damage if it struck the Earth. Initial observations estimate it has a 99% chance of passing the Earth safely but a 1% chance of hitting, which gives it a Level 3 designation on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale.

   https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/ESA_actively_monitoring_near-Earth_asteroid_2024_YR4