"A Russian victory in Ukraine would lead to substantially higher costs for Germany via
-increased military spending
-additional refugees
-the loss of trade and investment with Ukraine.
we estimate costs up to 2% of GDP annually, up to 20
times higher than current."
This paper tries to estimate how much more it would cost Germany to NOT support Ukraine, versus the current support. The authors estimate it’s 10 times the current support.
https://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/92541751-97c2-4c8f-9067-730998a3fa07-KPB_179_DE.pdf
#germany #ukraine #geopolitics @geopolitics
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