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   Ever Beedle (dave@gleasonator.com)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Nov-2024 21:21:33 JST Ever Beedle

   It's looking likely that Trump winds up with 313 electoral votes, +- 1 since we have a couple of states that aren't winner-take-all.

   Not only did he win, he won by a larger margin than 2016, where he got 302. He's also ahead on the popular vote by a decent margin, currently 3.5 points, which wasn't the case in 2016, when he lost the popular vote.

   Overall, solid result, about as good as could have been hoped for given the polling. And amusingly, this almost perfectly matches up with 538's projection (attached) for what would happen if Trump outperformed the polls by 4 points, which was a scenario they considered since that was roughly the case in both 2016 and 2020.