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    Georgia Election Data Update (gaelectionupdate@theatl.social)'s status on Saturday, 02-Nov-2024 10:04:28 JST Georgia Election Data Update Georgia Election Data Update

    Our record-breaking final #Georgia #EarlyVote turnout is 285,771 (so far), which is the bar chart on the very right of the chart in the attached image.

    Core #Atlanta 🔵 metro counties over-performed and suburban/exurban underperformed, relative to previous days.

    Total turnout is 3,995,938 / 55.2% turnout.

    As of yesterday, the urban turnout (38.2%) has just about caught up with suburban (40.7%) and rural (41.7%) turnout, after some considerable deficits early in the early voting cycle.

    And, the TargetSmart modeled party as of yesterday showed a delta between 🔵 Dems and 🔴 Republicans is down to 3.3 pct pt, LOWER than 2020's 5.5 pct pt difference.

    I'd expect with today's EV turnout, those figures would continue to narrow to 🔵 's advantage.

    There about 100k mail-in ballots left to return in GA, which will be rolling in from now until 11/5. Absentee voters can also vote in-person in lieu of returning their paper ballot.

    A couple of less-reliable pollsters (image attached) also indicate that #Harris' momentum has shifted favorable in the past couple of days. Ultimately, A lot is counting on independent voters - whose preferences may determine the outcome of this race in Georgia.

    In conversation 8 months ago from theatl.social permalink
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