Another great post by Polish analyst Daniel Szeligowski, about “Russian security concerns” related to #NATO and #Ukraine. All following text is Daniel’s, written originally in English, with no quote block for readability.
In early 2014, Ukraine was a neutral country, with a pro-Russian president, and with 70% of Ukraine’s population against NATO membership. Yet Russia violated Ukraine’s neutrality and annexed Crimea, then launched a covert invasion of Ukraine in the east.
Petro Poroshenko won the presidential election in 2014 having promised a settlement with Russia, keeping a special status of the Russian language in Ukraine. He was initially sceptical regarding NATO accession, underlined Ukraine must rely on its own strength to provide security.
Zelensky also won the presidential election promising to compromise with Russia - to stop shooting, sit down with Putin and talk. He was even more sceptical regarding NATO accession. Asked about NATO, he once famously said he never pays anyone a visit if he has not been invited.
Zelensky was ready to drop Ukraine’s NATO membership bid in an exchange for the Russian troops withdrawing from Ukraine, and the talks were held already before 2022. And yet Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
In the first weeks of the invasion, Zelensky was yet again ready to drop Ukraine’s NATO bid. But he wanted to obtain international security guarantees. So Putin put forward demands that Russia must be consulted before any aid would be given to Ukraine in the event of aggression.
Both Poroshenko and Zelensky were initially sceptical regarding Ukraine’s accession to NATO. Both wanted to get a deal with Putin. And Putin himself pushed both of them to seek NATO membership out of no other viable alternatives.
Putin has shown no willingness to compromise with Ukraine. His war aims remain maximalist - subjugating Ukraine and changing its regime. He seeks Ukraine’s partition, and will turn what is left of Ukraine into a Russian protectorate. Nothing to do with his “feelings” about NATO.
Regrettably, Russia’s imperial self-conception is that of Russian elites at large, not just Putin. Russian leadership simply cannot reconcile with the existence of a sovereign Ukrainian statehood. So any sustainable Ukrainian-Russian compromise is currently not within reach.
Menschenrechts- und No-Border-Aktivist und Journalist Maksim Butkewitsch hat sich mit Beginn des russischen Überfalls zur ukrainischen Armee gemeldet. Er hat gekämpft, wurde gefangen genommen und in Russland zu einer langen Haftstrafe verurteilt. Vor kurzem wurde er ausgetauscht und ist wieder in der Ukraine.
In diesem Interview erzählt er, wie er behandelt wurde, wie er die Gefangenschaft erlebt hat und was ihm geholfen hat durchzuhalten:
#MaksimButkewitsch #Ukraine
Noone believed in Ukraine.
In 2022, Ukraine was given 3 days to live - at max. Too small, too weak, defending against the “unbeatable r*ssia”.
All those world-class analysts didn’t account for Ukrainian courage, unity and unbreakable spirit. We aspire to be free and we will be.
In 2022 on my podcast I had my buddy Romeo Kokriatski on. For those who dk, he's the co-host of the Ukraine Without Hype podcast, which is a must listen for English-language updates on Ukraine.
In our first or second chat on #TheFireTheseTimes I said that my fear for Ukraine is not Ukrainians' resolve, but Europeans' cynicism.
Germany led the way on that, effectively making it harder for Ukraine to defend itself for a long time. 1/?
At March, Science Fiction Writers Union of Korea (SFWUK) and Science Fiction and Fantasy Writers of Japan (SFWJ) have separately issued statements against the Russian Army’s Invasion of Ukraine.
In 1910, Japan colonized Korean and let them involved war crime.
That was invasion, that was similar what Russian did in 2014.
After century, both parties defendants of invading history issued an anti invading statement.
I'm proud to issue this statement with Korean writers.
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