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Map of East Ukraine with Ukraine held Russian wanted areas coloured in. In the North in dark red is the Russian territory of Kursk. In Ukraine in dark red is Luhansk and Donetsk. Light red is North of the Dnieper river for Zaporizhzhia and Kherson.

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    The Animal and the Machine (taatm@mathstodon.xyz)'s status on Wednesday, 18-Sep-2024 19:24:53 JST The Animal and the Machine The Animal and the Machine

    Conditions to end the war:
    Putin wants Luhansk, Donetsk, Crimea, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson so he can call for a ceasefire and be a strongman. The first two are where the natural resources are that rival Russia and are internal war justifications to oligarchs. Crimea is navy base and sea access. He also needs to take back Kursk. The others are a land bridge.

    Putin won’t accept anything other than keeping what he has and needs to take the dark red. He needs it before mud season so he can call for a ceasefire.

    He won’t officially end the war but wants to pause it before finding an excuse to resume it in two years.

    #Ukraine knows this. As a free economy, they cannot go to war again, so they must free their lands, shown in dark blue. They can do this with the help of taking #Kursk, in light blue.

    As both side must have the same territory for their aims, peace is impossible. All thanks to Putin. If Russia left now, we could have peace tomorrow.

    In conversation about 9 months ago from mathstodon.xyz permalink
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