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Line chart of PredictIt prices and volumes for Trump (light blue), Biden (green), and Harris (dark blue) contracts in the 2024 Presidential election market for June 23 to July 23.

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https://storage.googleapis.com/hci-social-storage/media_attachments/files/112/838/023/365/494/260/original/80adabe95f0feb37.png

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  1. Embed this notice
    Brian C. Keegan (bkeegan@hci.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Jul-2024 07:31:44 JST Brian C. Keegan Brian C. Keegan

    At the start of the RNC last week, #PredictIt was forecasting a 69% chance that Trump would be the next President.

    Those odds not only fell over the course of the RNC, their fall accelerated since Biden's withdrawal.

    Current predictions stand at 59%.

    https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

    In conversation Wednesday, 24-Jul-2024 07:31:44 JST from hci.social permalink
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