Notices by bhahne (bhahne@mastodon.online)

@thomasfuchs I find the claim difficult to believe. Nothing moves voters by 10 points. Typically a 2-point shift from one ad is considered sensational. Are there RCTs that demonstrate such a shift?

@StillIRise1963 Democratic Senator Jon Tester (Montana) is currently the most at risk for losing his seat. If we lose it, we very likely lose the Senate and then you're correct that we'll have continued federal paralysis, plus zero judicial appointments.

Remote phonebanking signup for Montana Dems is here:
https://www.mobilize.us/bigskyvictory/event/703769/

The full set of volunteer opportunities is here:
https://www.mobilize.us/bigskyvictory/

#Montana #election #Voteblue #JonTester

Twitter is a threat to Democrats and democracy: Jason Sattler strongly recommends in today's Framelab that people immediately establish Mastodon and Bluesky accounts and use those preferentially.

https://www.theframelab.org/beware-trumps-secret-weapon-elon-musks-x-twitter/

Extracts:

"There has never been a threat to democracy quite like Elon Musk. Now is a great time to stop helping him."

"... we must functionally view Twitter as a Trump campaign website."

#Twitter #Musk #uspol #democracy
@dangillmor

The Guardian reviews the new documentary Bad Faith, on the rise and power of Christian nationalism in the U.S.

“If Bad Faith has one point, it is to take Christian nationalism as a serious threat to democracy... 'They’re incredibly strategic. They’re extremely good at organization, and they have a very, very long attention span. If they set out an objective, they will give it 40 years to play out...'”

https://www.theguardian.com/film/2024/apr/27/bad-faith-documentary-christian-nationalism

#uspol #ChristianNationalism

@HamonWry No. If you provide the weapons to a nation-state that's committing genocide, you're complicit in that genocide. Israel wouldn't be able to kill nearly as many people if the U.S. would stop selling them weapons. Biden has significant agency to save lives here and he has refused to use it.

https://www.axios.com/2023/11/29/us-weapons-provided-israel-aircraft-missiles-bombs

"Trump [won't] cancel elections, but [will] co-opt the machinery of state power in the way that Viktor Orban has done in Hungary. "

Georgetown professor @donmoyn has written a good article describing the mechanics of how the GOP will institute an autocracy, ending Democracy in the US, if we see a second term of the previous president. Moynihan includes his full NYT piece plus some additional commentary.

https://donmoynihan.substack.com/p/what-i-wrote-in-the-new-york-times

#autocracy #democracy #authoritarianism

@jensorensen Related: Murc's Law, “the widespread assumption that only Democrats have any agency or causal influence over American politics.”

https://themoderatevoice.com/murcs-law-describes-news-framing-that-makes-democrats-responsible-for-republican-antics-chaos-and-dysfunction/