@youronlyone For one I'm pretty sure think-tanks, if they're worth their salt, would dwell on more realistic scenarios.
This and that country having certain responses are normal, but they don't have to end up for the worse. Hindi dahil red alert, automatic gyera na agad ang kasunod.
Events have escalated into wars before. But they were not inevitable. On the reverse, think of other scenarios that could've been wider wars but didn't, like the assassination of Iran's Suleimani in 2020.