So burning fossil fuels plays a role in making heatwaves worse which then leads to this:
“To meet the demand, utilities in New England burned more [methane] gas. [Methane] gas burned in the power sector reached nearly 2.0 billion cubic feet (Bcf) on both June 19 and 20, compared to about 1.20 Bcf per day consumed on the Wednesday and Thursday of the previous week.”
This we can say with considerable certainty: We are completely unprepared to deal with a world at +1.5°C (imminent) given that this is the experience at +1.3°C
“The industry knows that “solutions” like carbon capture, liquefied natural gas, hydrogen, and renewable natural gas will work only to protect its profits, not to curb greenhouse gas emissions.”
I don’t think any of us really understand how quickly collapse can happen:
> About 85% of the country expected to see highs of at least 40°C > Almost 40% of the country’s dams below 20% > 40% are between 20 and 50%. > Mexico City (Population 22.51 million) forced to reduce water supply as reservoirs that feed city dry up. > Stores running out of mineral water.
"I don't say this lightly - but the floods in #PortoAlegre, #Brazil, are looking comparable to what Katrina did to New Orleans in 2005 -- massive evacuations, water & power outages, key infrastructure damaged, parts of city, possible long-term consequences."—Brian Winter
"In the long-term climate change means that some of our communities, both in this country [UK] and around the world, cannot stay where they are.
"Now, that's because while we can come back safely and build back better after most river flooding, there is no coming back for land that coastal erosion has simply taken away or which a rising sea level has put permanently or frequently underwater.—Sir James Bevan
It is becoming increasingly clear that we are going to face some extreme challenges as we continue to heat.
Barcelona is just one city of many that are coming under strain as a result of these temperatures.
"Even in the middle of the winter, Barcelona could not avoid a drought emergency. “Due to changes in climate, it’s already super dry there [in Barcelona] in January, February, and the summer still has to come,” says Uhlenbrook.
"Without immediate and deep greenhouse gases emissions reductions across ALL sectors and regions, it will be impossible to keep warming below 1.5° C"
> For a 1.5ºC pathway emissions must fall by 8.7% in 2024 > For a 2ºC pathway emissions must fall by 5.3% in 2024
None of the above is going to happen.
Get ready to live in a 1.5-2ºC world. What does your region of the planet look like at these levels of heating? Find this information as soon as you can. The data is available.
8.7% emissions reduction required in 2024 for a 1.5ºC pathway 5.3% emission reduction required in 2024 for a 2ºC pathway
Context: We achieved a 4.7% reduction during covid (2019 vs 2020)
Pictured you see what it took in the EU to achieve the covid reduction. Here we are zoomed in on the transportation sector. It took a *radical* shift in mobility to achieve this!
Look around you. Do you see anything resembling a "covid-like" response to achieve even a 2ºC pathway in 2024?
Since it is abundantly clear that we will smash through +1.5°C of warming shortly and very likely +2°C soon thereafter as a result of a lack of stringent emission reductions, best we understand, with urgency, what this means for the future.
"It's looking like the entirety of the Southern Hemisphere is probably going to bleach this year. We are literally sitting on the cusp of the worst bleaching event in the history of the planet.”—Derek Manzello, Coordinator NOAA Coral Reef Watch
𝗙𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿: FutureWork IQ | I speak about mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis | b. 316 ppm | 🇿🇦𝗠𝘆 𝗠𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗱𝗼𝗻 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘆: Posts are set to auto delete after 30 days in an endeavour to assist with keeping server storage at a minimum. Important archives on listed blogs!