Notices by Peter du Toit (peterdutoit@mastodon.green)

Facing reality.

Graphic: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/climate/climate-action-tracker-temperatures-emissions.html

Emission reduction requirements: https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2021

#ClimateLiteracy #ClimateCrisis

The magnitude of the task to achieve a 2ºC pathway.

Take a look at the reduction in emissions from covid. In this dataset you are looking at a 5.7% reduction.

We need to have a reduction at this level EVERY year from now until 2030.

EVERY year.

#ClimateCrisis

Reminder: These were our chances of exceeding 2ºC *prior* to the US election result.

Now we can be certain we will be breaching that threshold and more.

We have NO TIME to lose to prepare, as best we can, for the consequences of this.

#ClimateCrisis #Adaptation #Reslience

Graphic: https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2024

Did you see this from the Associated Press?

If the economy is your concern then climate should be your top priority! In the US it's *already* impacting the economy as $billon disasters pile up at +1.3ºC of heating.

+1.5ºC imminent.

Central Banks: "The scenarios show that climate change is becoming a first order factor for our economies.”

Trump & co say openly that this is all a hoax.

A very rude awakening awaits!

#ClimateCrisis

"Valencia's regional government admitted that it had only sent out a text message warning residents of the impending catastrophe at 8:12 PM, eight hours after the first floods were reported, and 10 hours after Spain’s AEMET issued an alert highlighting “extreme danger” across the region."

Disasters like this will keep happening because we are NOT ready. Nearly 100 lives lost because the early warning system failed.

#ClimateCrisis #Valencia #FlashFloods

https://www.politico.eu/article/spain-floods-valencia-europe-climate-change-preparation/

We have now arrived at a point where the science underpinning these two reports need equal *urgent* attention.

Adaptation to attempt surviving 2°C

Mitigation to attempt preventing 2.1° then 2.2° and heaven forbid 2.9°

Both actions are now critical

#ClimateCrisis #Adaptation #Mitigation

It would seem the approaching climate chaos hasn’t registered yet in the US.

“We find that the percentage of voters who think global warming is a “very important” issue has increased slightly over time”

2014 - 32%
2024 - 39%

39% 🤷🏻

Data: https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/ypccc-2024-election-resources/

#ClimateCrisis

Meanwhile

Source: https://bsky.app/profile/climateofgavin.bsky.social/post/3l74a2hbkrq2x

Parts of #France have been experiencing extreme precipitation and resulting dangerous #FlashFloods

We are *absolutely not* prepared for a world at +1.5ºC of heating, now imminent.

#ClimateCrisis

ICYMI

“#Methane concentrations have risen faster over the past five-year period than in any period since record-keeping began. At least two-thirds of global methane emissions are now attributable to anthropogenic sources, an outcome that cannot continue if we are to maintain a habitable climate.”

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ad6463

#ClimateCrisis #ClimateLiteracy

There is a lot of talk that things are going to be ok.

Here is the honest truth. We did not slam on the brakes to avoid passing 1.5°C

We have NOT slammed on the brakes in the 2°C car. Brakes = 5.3% emissions reduction in 2024 and EVERY year thereafter until 2030.

Emissions are projected to GROW in 2024.

We must now prepare our communities for the impacts of this negligence. Here is probably the most important document of our time:

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/

#ClimateCrisis #ClimateLiteracy

Live in a costal city or town? Stay informed regarding the latest sea-level rise data and projections from the latest UN report released today.

“Recent data from NASA finds that the change in global-mean sea level in 2023 relative to 1993 reached 9.4cm [+/- 1cm], representing the highest level in the modern observation record that extends back into the 19th century.”

https://www.un.org/sites/un2.un.org/files/slr_technical_brief_26_aug_2024.pdf

#SeaLevelRise #ClimateLiteracy #ClimateCrisis

#France:

Car parks with space for 80 cars or more are now required by law to be covered with solar panels.

- Parks between 80-400 spaces have 5 years to comply
- Parks with spaces of 400+ have 3 years to comply

This will result in about 11 gigawatts of power.

This should be required everywhere!

#ClimateCrisis #Mitigation #Electrification

As we continue to heat, let us never underestimate the far reaching impacts of #heatwaves

Image credit: https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/wp-content/uploads/India_Pak-Heatwave-scientific-report.pdf

#ClimateCrisis #ClimateRisk

Do NOT look away - we are on a highway to hell.

#Heatwave
#ClimateCrisis
#Pakistan

https://www.independent.co.uk/climate-change/news/pakistan-karachi-heatwave-temperature-death-toll-b2569734.html

So burning fossil fuels plays a role in making heatwaves worse which then leads to this:

“To meet the demand, utilities in New England burned more [methane] gas. [Methane] gas burned in the power sector reached nearly 2.0 billion cubic feet (Bcf) on both June 19 and 20, compared to about 1.20 Bcf per day consumed on the Wednesday and Thursday of the previous week.”

And so the vicious cycle continues!

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=62403

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwaves

This we can say with considerable certainty: We are completely unprepared to deal with a world at +1.5°C (imminent) given that this is the experience at +1.3°C

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4nn140qp4do

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwaves

“The industry knows that “solutions” like carbon capture, liquefied natural gas, hydrogen, and renewable natural gas will work only to protect its profits, not to curb greenhouse gas emissions.”

https://drilled.media/investigations/false-solutions

#ClimateCrisis #ClimateLiteracy

Absolutely *no one* can say we have not been warned.

Reports of impacts from all the regions highlighted here are now a plenty.

We are at +1.3°C of heating (latest 5-year avg.)
We are to pass +1.5°C permanently shortly.

We are in a full blown #ClimateEmergency.

Data: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_FullVolume.pdf

#ClimateCrisis

If aviation were a country, it would be the world’s sixth-biggest emitter, falling after China, the US, India, Russia, and Japan.

Reminder: The emissions from these 23,000 flights will last in the atmosphere for 300-1,000 years.

#ClimateLiteracy #Aviation