The small coastal town of Knysna in South Africa has been walking a tightrope trying to avoid Day Zero.
I shared some insights into what the plan is and how we can track if the plan is working or not.
The small coastal town of Knysna in South Africa has been walking a tightrope trying to avoid Day Zero.
I shared some insights into what the plan is and how we can track if the plan is working or not.
RE: https://fediscience.org/@ZLabe/115800336826737654
The three graphs that explain the escalating #ClimateCrisis
“To date, no [governments] have set targets to reduce oil and gas production or phase out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies”—UNEP 2025
As a result we are 75% certain to cross 2°C of heating.
We are on a highway to hell.
Imagine not having to be held captive by the Petrostates!
African countries are discovering that energy security is within their reach!
Africa can leapfrog fossil fuels as electricity generation source!
Graphic source: https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/the-first-evidence-of-a-take-off-in-solar-in-africa/
Thank goodness there is a record of this:
“US President Donald Trump called renewable energy a "joke" and the idea of man-made climate change "the greatest con job ever."
77,302,580 Americans voted for this. Guess it says everything that needs to be said about them.
Why should employees be allowed to work from home at least 3 days a week?
IEA: "Three days of working from home avoids around 𝟱𝟬𝟬,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗯𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗹𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝗼𝗶𝗹 𝗽𝗲𝗿 𝗱𝗮𝘆" from being used.
We have the solutions we just need to use them!
Source: https://www.iea.org/reports/a-10-point-plan-to-cut-oil-use
The cooling towers of the Nottinghamshire coal power plant, which operated 1968-2019 and was responsible for approximately ~400 million tonnes (MtCO₂) going into the atmosphere (and which will remain there for 300 to 1,000 years) were demolished Aug 14th.
Damage done.
But satisfying to see this!
Facing reality.
Graphic: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/climate/climate-action-tracker-temperatures-emissions.html
Emission reduction requirements: https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2021
The magnitude of the task to achieve a 2ºC pathway.
Take a look at the reduction in emissions from covid. In this dataset you are looking at a 5.7% reduction.
We need to have a reduction at this level EVERY year from now until 2030.
EVERY year.
Reminder: These were our chances of exceeding 2ºC *prior* to the US election result.
Now we can be certain we will be breaching that threshold and more.
We have NO TIME to lose to prepare, as best we can, for the consequences of this.
#ClimateCrisis #Adaptation #Reslience
Graphic: https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2024
Did you see this from the Associated Press?
If the economy is your concern then climate should be your top priority! In the US it's *already* impacting the economy as $billon disasters pile up at +1.3ºC of heating.
+1.5ºC imminent.
Central Banks: "The scenarios show that climate change is becoming a first order factor for our economies.”
Trump & co say openly that this is all a hoax.
A very rude awakening awaits!
"Valencia's regional government admitted that it had only sent out a text message warning residents of the impending catastrophe at 8:12 PM, eight hours after the first floods were reported, and 10 hours after Spain’s AEMET issued an alert highlighting “extreme danger” across the region."
Disasters like this will keep happening because we are NOT ready. Nearly 100 lives lost because the early warning system failed.
#ClimateCrisis #Valencia #FlashFloods
https://www.politico.eu/article/spain-floods-valencia-europe-climate-change-preparation/
We have now arrived at a point where the science underpinning these two reports need equal *urgent* attention.
Adaptation to attempt surviving 2°C
Mitigation to attempt preventing 2.1° then 2.2° and heaven forbid 2.9°
Both actions are now critical
It would seem the approaching climate chaos hasn’t registered yet in the US.
“We find that the percentage of voters who think global warming is a “very important” issue has increased slightly over time”
2014 - 32%
2024 - 39%
39% 🤷🏻
Data: https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/ypccc-2024-election-resources/
Meanwhile
Source: https://bsky.app/profile/climateofgavin.bsky.social/post/3l74a2hbkrq2x
Parts of #France have been experiencing extreme precipitation and resulting dangerous #FlashFloods
We are *absolutely not* prepared for a world at +1.5ºC of heating, now imminent.
ICYMI
“#Methane concentrations have risen faster over the past five-year period than in any period since record-keeping began. At least two-thirds of global methane emissions are now attributable to anthropogenic sources, an outcome that cannot continue if we are to maintain a habitable climate.”
There is a lot of talk that things are going to be ok.
Here is the honest truth. We did not slam on the brakes to avoid passing 1.5°C
We have NOT slammed on the brakes in the 2°C car. Brakes = 5.3% emissions reduction in 2024 and EVERY year thereafter until 2030.
Emissions are projected to GROW in 2024.
We must now prepare our communities for the impacts of this negligence. Here is probably the most important document of our time:
Live in a costal city or town? Stay informed regarding the latest sea-level rise data and projections from the latest UN report released today.
“Recent data from NASA finds that the change in global-mean sea level in 2023 relative to 1993 reached 9.4cm [+/- 1cm], representing the highest level in the modern observation record that extends back into the 19th century.”
https://www.un.org/sites/un2.un.org/files/slr_technical_brief_26_aug_2024.pdf
Car parks with space for 80 cars or more are now required by law to be covered with solar panels.
- Parks between 80-400 spaces have 5 years to comply
- Parks with spaces of 400+ have 3 years to comply
This will result in about 11 gigawatts of power.
This should be required everywhere!
As we continue to heat, let us never underestimate the far reaching impacts of #heatwaves
Image credit: https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/wp-content/uploads/India_Pak-Heatwave-scientific-report.pdf
𝗙𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿: FutureClimate IQ | I speak about climate futures, mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisisI am a huge fan of ephemeral social media, so my posts delete after 30 days. Content that I want around longer will be on my blog.
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