simsa03 (simsa03@gnusocial.jp)'s status on Friday, 15-Nov-2024 09:26:06 JST
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About 3 million people didn't turn out to vote, which gave T the advantage in the popular vote. For whatever reasons. But to be clear: Harris in 2024 got the same numer of votes as Obama in 2008 (against McCain), more than Obama in 2012 (against Romney), more than Hilary Clinton in 2016 (against T). She only lost in comparison to Biden's campaign of 2020 (Biden 81 million votes, Harris 69 million in 2024). So just stop fretting about a "weak" or underperforming campagain.¹ The Biden campaign and election in 2020 was a rare exception, an outlier, nothing that could be expected to repeat itself to be repeated. And T? In 2020 he won about 74 million votes, in 2024 about 74.5 million votes.² So what makes people think Harris should have won? She did very fine.
Due to their panic about the upcomung fascist regime in the US people think that voters should have turned out in far larger numbers for Harris. But they did not. Or rather: They did, but not in the numbers pundits were expecting. If people want to blame a voting group at all, they may single out Latino women and men.Although Harris won a slice of the Latino women cohort, the Latino men strongly went to T.³
So people should keep two things in mind:
The election results for Harris as for T are no outlier, nothing exceptional, but average.
And give the "usual" numbers of ballots, voters in the U.S. opted for the not directly fascist but autocratic regime they'll now get. That's the way elections go. It went the same way with Hitler in 1933. Democracy at times allows to vote people into office who are determined to abolish the system. But to prevent that from happening you either need a tremendous voter turnout (like Biden's in 2020) or a benevolent dictaorship. Neither is probable nor rational, esp. with the Big Tent coalition of the Dems.
¹ https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-millions-voters-kamala-harris-trump-election-1981954
² https://edition.cnn.com/2024/11/09/politics/donald-trump-election-what-matters/index.html
³ https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/06/election-trump-harris-women-voters
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