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The US election is going to be so close that even if about 2% of likely voters don't vote for Trump now, he’s a convicted felon, that'll be enough to swing close States to Biden.

I'm not the originator of this idea. It's articulated by several commentators with way more insight and knowledge than me.

But they all also say that in November, the non-MAGA US populace has to get out and vote in such numbers that the MAGAs can’t prevent their loss via vote suppression measures.