Last year I wrote about the closing window Europe has to join the war and defeat Russia before they can attack us.<\/p>
#Russia<\/a> is now passing a law enabling Putin to intervene militarily to protect Russian minorities, meanwhile, propaganda is spreading online about a \"Narva people's republic\" in #Estonia<\/a>.<\/p> The US won't help us, and the window is closed. War is coming to Europe.<\/p> #EUpol<\/a> #Ukraine<\/a> Last year I wrote about the closing window Europe has to join the war and defeat Russia before they can attack us.<\/p> #Russia<\/a> is now passing a law enabling Putin to intervene militarily to protect Russian minorities, meanwhile, propaganda is spreading online about a \"Narva people's republic\" in #Estonia<\/a>.<\/p> The US won't help us, and the window is closed. War is coming to Europe.<\/p> #EUpol<\/a> #Ukraine<\/a> @jmaris<\/a> Here's the trick: we don't.<\/p> > If we choose to wait, we are only giving Russia the time it needs to rearm and prepare to attack us<\/p> No, we're also giving ourselves time to rearm and prepare to defend.<\/p> 1\/<\/p>","generator":{"id":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-07-14:notice-source:ActivityPub","objectType":"application","status_net":{"source_code":"ActivityPub"}},"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl\/statuses\/116258088172989769","object":{"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl\/statuses\/116258088172989769","objectType":"note","content":" @jmaris<\/a> Here's the trick: we don't.<\/p> > If we choose to wait, we are only giving Russia the time it needs to rearm and prepare to attack us<\/p> No, we're also giving ourselves time to rearm and prepare to defend.<\/p> 1\/<\/p>","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl\/116258088172989769","status_net":{"notice_id":null},"inReplyTo":{"objectType":"note","id":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/users\/jmaris\/statuses\/116258013156536816","url":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/@jmaris\/116258013156536816"}},"to":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/person","id":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/users\/jmaris"},{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/collection","id":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/collection\/public"}],"status_net":{"conversation":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-03-19:objectType=thread:nonce=e4d61faaed43fc76","notice_info":{"local_id":"12318315","source":"ActivityPub"}},"published":"2026-03-19T22:30:22+00:00","provider":{"objectType":"service","displayName":"GNU social JP","url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/"},"verb":"post","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl\/116258088172989769"},{"actor":{"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl","displayName":"Wolf480pl","status_net":{"avatarLinks":[{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-original-tmp20260301104518.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":400,"height":400},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-96-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-48-20260301110552.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":48,"height":48},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-24-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":24,"height":24}],"profile_info":{"local_id":"6007"}},"image":{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-96-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},"objectType":"person","summary":"Sysadmin stuck with k8s,Linux nerdLikes The Unix Way\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf1(\ud83c\uddef\ud83c\uddf5 a bit)","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl","portablecontacts_net":{"preferredUsername":"wolf480pl","displayName":"Wolf480pl","note":"Sysadmin stuck with k8s,Linux nerdLikes The Unix Way\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf1(\ud83c\uddef\ud83c\uddf5 a bit)"}},"content":" @jmaris<\/a> Ukraine will do its best to not agree on a peace deal that would allow Russia to do that.<\/p> In order to pull that off, Russia would need a exceptional information asymmetry, or pressure on Ukraine from the West greater than Trump's last attempt.<\/p> 2\/<\/p>","generator":{"id":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-07-14:notice-source:ActivityPub","objectType":"application","status_net":{"source_code":"ActivityPub"}},"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl\/statuses\/116258100889371003","object":{"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl\/statuses\/116258100889371003","objectType":"note","content":" @jmaris<\/a> Ukraine will do its best to not agree on a peace deal that would allow Russia to do that.<\/p> In order to pull that off, Russia would need a exceptional information asymmetry, or pressure on Ukraine from the West greater than Trump's last attempt.<\/p> 2\/<\/p>","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl\/116258100889371003","status_net":{"notice_id":null},"inReplyTo":{"objectType":"note","id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl\/statuses\/116258088172989769","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl\/116258088172989769"}},"to":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/person","id":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/users\/jmaris"},{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/collection","id":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/collection\/public"}],"status_net":{"conversation":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-03-19:objectType=thread:nonce=e4d61faaed43fc76","notice_info":{"local_id":"12318316","source":"ActivityPub"}},"published":"2026-03-19T22:30:21+00:00","provider":{"objectType":"service","displayName":"GNU social JP","url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/"},"verb":"post","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl\/116258100889371003"},{"actor":{"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl","displayName":"Wolf480pl","status_net":{"avatarLinks":[{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-original-tmp20260301104518.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":400,"height":400},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-96-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-48-20260301110552.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":48,"height":48},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-24-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":24,"height":24}],"profile_info":{"local_id":"6007"}},"image":{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-96-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},"objectType":"person","summary":"Sysadmin stuck with k8s,Linux nerdLikes The Unix Way\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf1(\ud83c\uddef\ud83c\uddf5 a bit)","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl","portablecontacts_net":{"preferredUsername":"wolf480pl","displayName":"Wolf480pl","note":"Sysadmin stuck with k8s,Linux nerdLikes The Unix Way\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf1(\ud83c\uddef\ud83c\uddf5 a bit)"}},"content":" @jmaris<\/a> <\/p> > propaganda is spreading online about a \"Narva people's republic\" in #Estonia<\/a>. Are you saying that now Russia is able to wage two wars at the same time?<\/p>","generator":{"id":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-07-14:notice-source:ActivityPub","objectType":"application","status_net":{"source_code":"ActivityPub"}},"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl\/statuses\/116258105732678841","object":{"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl\/statuses\/116258105732678841","objectType":"note","content":" @jmaris<\/a> <\/p> > propaganda is spreading online about a \"Narva people's republic\" in #Estonia<\/a>. Are you saying that now Russia is able to wage two wars at the same time?<\/p>","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl\/116258105732678841","status_net":{"notice_id":null},"inReplyTo":{"objectType":"note","id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl\/statuses\/116258100889371003","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl\/116258100889371003"},"tags":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/object\/hashtag","displayName":"estonia"}]},"to":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/person","id":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/users\/jmaris"},{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/collection","id":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/collection\/public"}],"status_net":{"conversation":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-03-19:objectType=thread:nonce=e4d61faaed43fc76","notice_info":{"local_id":"12318317","source":"ActivityPub"}},"published":"2026-03-19T22:30:20+00:00","provider":{"objectType":"service","displayName":"GNU social JP","url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/"},"verb":"post","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl\/116258105732678841"},{"actor":{"id":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/users\/jmaris","displayName":"Jordan Maris \ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddfa \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\udde6 #NAFO","status_net":{"avatarLinks":[{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/109192-original-tmp20251208103258.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":400,"height":400},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/109192-96-20251208124426.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/109192-48-20251208124426.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":48,"height":48},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/109192-24-20251208124427.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":24,"height":24}],"profile_info":{"local_id":"109192"}},"image":{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/109192-96-20251208124426.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},"objectType":"person","summary":"#EU Policy Analyst for the #OpenSource Initiative. Former EU Parliament Assistant. Expert in \ud83d\udcbbDigital, \ud83d\ude84Transport, and \ud83e\uddeaResearch Policy. #fedi22 #EU #tech #ukraine #foreignpolicy Find out about my work at @policy@social.opensource.org","url":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/@jmaris","portablecontacts_net":{"preferredUsername":"jmaris","displayName":"Jordan Maris \ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddfa \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\udde6 #NAFO","note":"#EU Policy Analyst for the #OpenSource Initiative. Former EU Parliament Assistant. Expert in \ud83d\udcbbDigital, \ud83d\ude84Transport, and \ud83e\uddeaResearch Policy. #fedi22 #EU #tech #ukraine #foreignpolicy Find out about my work at @policy@social.opensource.org"}},"content":"
https:\/\/jmar.is\/jekyll\/update\/2025\/02\/21\/EuropeMustJoinTheWar.html<\/a><\/p>","generator":{"id":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-07-14:notice-source:ActivityPub","objectType":"application","status_net":{"source_code":"ActivityPub"}},"id":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/users\/jmaris\/statuses\/116258013156536816","object":{"id":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/users\/jmaris\/statuses\/116258013156536816","objectType":"note","content":"
https:\/\/jmar.is\/jekyll\/update\/2025\/02\/21\/EuropeMustJoinTheWar.html<\/a><\/p>","url":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/@jmaris\/116258013156536816","status_net":{"notice_id":null},"tags":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/object\/hashtag","displayName":"estoniathe"},{"objectType":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/object\/hashtag","displayName":"ukraine"}]},"to":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/collection","id":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/collection\/public"}],"status_net":{"conversation":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-03-19:objectType=thread:nonce=e4d61faaed43fc76","notice_info":{"local_id":"12318314","source":"ActivityPub"}},"published":"2026-03-19T22:30:23+00:00","provider":{"objectType":"service","displayName":"GNU social JP","url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/"},"verb":"post","url":"https:\/\/eupolicy.social\/@jmaris\/116258013156536816"},{"actor":{"id":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/users\/wolf480pl","displayName":"Wolf480pl","status_net":{"avatarLinks":[{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-original-tmp20260301104518.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":400,"height":400},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-96-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-48-20260301110552.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":48,"height":48},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-24-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":24,"height":24}],"profile_info":{"local_id":"6007"}},"image":{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/6007-96-20260301110802.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},"objectType":"person","summary":"Sysadmin stuck with k8s,Linux nerdLikes The Unix Way\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf1(\ud83c\uddef\ud83c\uddf5 a bit)","url":"https:\/\/mstdn.io\/@wolf480pl","portablecontacts_net":{"preferredUsername":"wolf480pl","displayName":"Wolf480pl","note":"Sysadmin stuck with k8s,Linux nerdLikes The Unix Way\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\udde7\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf1(\ud83c\uddef\ud83c\uddf5 a bit)"}},"content":"
> If we allow Russia to win in Ukraine, or to achieve an unjust peace, it will be a matter of years before Russia attacks the European Union<\/p>
> If we allow Russia to win in Ukraine, or to achieve an unjust peace, it will be a matter of years before Russia attacks the European Union<\/p>
> the moment Russia wins or achieves an unjust peace, their next consideration will be [...] breaking that peace to conquer more of Ukraine<\/p>
> the moment Russia wins or achieves an unjust peace, their next consideration will be [...] breaking that peace to conquer more of Ukraine<\/p>
> [...] War is coming to Europe.<\/p>
> [...] War is coming to Europe.<\/p>