{"generator":"GNU social 2.0.2-dev","title":"Conversation","totalItems":3,"items":[{"actor":{"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/WarnerCrocker","displayName":"Warner Crocker","status_net":{"avatarLinks":[{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/43566-original-tmp20221130221228.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":400,"height":400},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/43566-96-20230122170559.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/43566-48-20230122170559.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":48,"height":48},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/43566-24-20230122170559.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":24,"height":24}],"profile_info":{"local_id":"43566"}},"image":{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/43566-96-20230122170559.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},"objectType":"person","summary":"Gadfly. Flying through life as a gadget geek and theatre artist...commenting along the way. Every day I learn something new is a good day. Boosts offered without endorsement. Comments on the other hand\u2026\u2029#theatre #arts #culture #apple #tech #chicago #chicagosports #comedy #politics #chicagopolitics #politics #socialmedia #music #mobiletech #OldPeopleofMastodon #photography #history #diabetes","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@WarnerCrocker","portablecontacts_net":{"preferredUsername":"WarnerCrocker","displayName":"Warner Crocker","note":"Gadfly. Flying through life as a gadget geek and theatre artist...commenting along the way. Every day I learn something new is a good day. Boosts offered without endorsement. Comments on the other hand\u2026\u2029#theatre #arts #culture #apple #tech #chicago #chicagosports #comedy #politics #chicagopolitics #politics #socialmedia #music #mobiletech #OldPeopleofMastodon #photography #history #diabetes"}},"content":"RT @WarnerCrocker The first thing I, and many others, get wrong in predicting the future:1. Disruption is overrated"The most-worshiped idol in all of tech\u2014the notion that any sufficiently nimble upstart can defeat bigger, slower, sclerotic competitors\u2014has proved to be a false one.It<\/a>\u2019s not that disruption never happens. It just doesn\u2019t happen nearly as often as we\u2019ve been led to believe."2\/\ud83e\uddf5","generator":{"id":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-08-08:notice-source:ActivityPub","objectType":"application","status_net":{"source_code":"ActivityPub"}},"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/WarnerCrocker\/statuses\/112456602243525058\/activity","object":{"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/mimsical\/statuses\/112456587442482966","objectType":"note","content":"

In ten years of writing about tech, I've gotten *many* things wrong.<\/p>

Some of these errors in judgment are surprisingly common.<\/p>

Here, gleaned from a decade of taking my lumps, is a thread about the 5 most common mistakes people make when thinking about the future:<\/p>

1\/\ud83e\uddf5<\/p>

(and here's a gift link to the full article)<\/p>

https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/personal-tech\/what-i-got-wrong-in-a-decade-of-predicting-the-future-of-tech-06420bba?st=hcuxciink30xal3&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink<\/a><\/p>","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@mimsical\/112456587442482966","status_net":{"notice_id":null}},"to":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/collection","id":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/collection\/public"}],"status_net":{"conversation":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2024-05-17:objectType=thread:nonce=46b8e4e4883910db","notice_info":{"local_id":"6148926","source":"ActivityPub","repeat_of":"6148924"}},"published":"2024-05-17T13:12:56+00:00","provider":{"objectType":"service","displayName":"GNU social JP","url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/"},"title":"WarnerCrocker repeated a notice by mimsical","verb":"share","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/WarnerCrocker\/statuses\/112456602243525058\/activity"},{"actor":{"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/mimsical","displayName":"Christopher Mims","status_net":{"avatarLinks":[{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-original-tmp20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":400,"height":400},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-96-20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-48-20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":48,"height":48},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-24-20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":24,"height":24}],"profile_info":{"local_id":"101161"}},"image":{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-96-20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},"objectType":"person","summary":"tech columnist @ wsj, here to make friends & chew bubblegum (& I'm all out of gum)","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@mimsical","portablecontacts_net":{"preferredUsername":"mimsical","displayName":"Christopher Mims","note":"tech columnist @ wsj, here to make friends & chew bubblegum (& I'm all out of gum)"}},"content":"

In ten years of writing about tech, I've gotten *many* things wrong.<\/p>

Some of these errors in judgment are surprisingly common.<\/p>

Here, gleaned from a decade of taking my lumps, is a thread about the 5 most common mistakes people make when thinking about the future:<\/p>

1\/\ud83e\uddf5<\/p>

(and here's a gift link to the full article)<\/p>

https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/personal-tech\/what-i-got-wrong-in-a-decade-of-predicting-the-future-of-tech-06420bba?st=hcuxciink30xal3&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink<\/a><\/p>","generator":{"id":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-08-08:notice-source:ActivityPub","objectType":"application","status_net":{"source_code":"ActivityPub"}},"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/mimsical\/statuses\/112456587442482966","object":{"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/mimsical\/statuses\/112456587442482966","objectType":"note","content":"

In ten years of writing about tech, I've gotten *many* things wrong.<\/p>

Some of these errors in judgment are surprisingly common.<\/p>

Here, gleaned from a decade of taking my lumps, is a thread about the 5 most common mistakes people make when thinking about the future:<\/p>

1\/\ud83e\uddf5<\/p>

(and here's a gift link to the full article)<\/p>

https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/personal-tech\/what-i-got-wrong-in-a-decade-of-predicting-the-future-of-tech-06420bba?st=hcuxciink30xal3&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink<\/a><\/p>","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@mimsical\/112456587442482966","status_net":{"notice_id":null}},"to":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/collection","id":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/collection\/public"}],"status_net":{"conversation":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2024-05-17:objectType=thread:nonce=46b8e4e4883910db","notice_info":{"local_id":"6148924","source":"ActivityPub"}},"published":"2024-05-17T13:12:55+00:00","provider":{"objectType":"service","displayName":"GNU social JP","url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/"},"verb":"post","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@mimsical\/112456587442482966"},{"actor":{"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/mimsical","displayName":"Christopher Mims","status_net":{"avatarLinks":[{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-original-tmp20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":400,"height":400},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-96-20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-48-20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":48,"height":48},{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-24-20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":24,"height":24}],"profile_info":{"local_id":"101161"}},"image":{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/avatar\/101161-96-20230223152631.webp","rel":"avatar","type":"image\/webp","width":96,"height":96},"objectType":"person","summary":"tech columnist @ wsj, here to make friends & chew bubblegum (& I'm all out of gum)","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@mimsical","portablecontacts_net":{"preferredUsername":"mimsical","displayName":"Christopher Mims","note":"tech columnist @ wsj, here to make friends & chew bubblegum (& I'm all out of gum)"}},"content":"

The first thing I, and many others, get wrong in predicting the future:<\/p>

1. Disruption is overrated<\/p>

\"The most-worshiped idol in all of tech\u2014the notion that any sufficiently nimble upstart can defeat bigger, slower, sclerotic competitors\u2014has proved to be a false one.<\/p>

It\u2019s not that disruption never happens. It just doesn\u2019t happen nearly as often as we\u2019ve been led to believe.\"<\/p>

2\/\ud83e\uddf5<\/p>","generator":{"id":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2026-08-08:notice-source:ActivityPub","objectType":"application","status_net":{"source_code":"ActivityPub"}},"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/mimsical\/statuses\/112456594619992597","object":{"id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/mimsical\/statuses\/112456594619992597","objectType":"note","content":"

The first thing I, and many others, get wrong in predicting the future:<\/p>

1. Disruption is overrated<\/p>

\"The most-worshiped idol in all of tech\u2014the notion that any sufficiently nimble upstart can defeat bigger, slower, sclerotic competitors\u2014has proved to be a false one.<\/p>

It\u2019s not that disruption never happens. It just doesn\u2019t happen nearly as often as we\u2019ve been led to believe.\"<\/p>

2\/\ud83e\uddf5<\/p>","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@mimsical\/112456594619992597","status_net":{"notice_id":null},"inReplyTo":{"objectType":"note","id":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/users\/mimsical\/statuses\/112456587442482966","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@mimsical\/112456587442482966"}},"to":[{"objectType":"http:\/\/activitystrea.ms\/schema\/1.0\/collection","id":"http:\/\/activityschema.org\/collection\/public"}],"status_net":{"conversation":"tag:gnusocial.jp,2024-05-17:objectType=thread:nonce=46b8e4e4883910db","notice_info":{"local_id":"6148925","source":"ActivityPub"}},"published":"2024-05-17T13:12:54+00:00","provider":{"objectType":"service","displayName":"GNU social JP","url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/"},"verb":"post","url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@mimsical\/112456594619992597"}],"links":[{"url":"https:\/\/gnusocial.jp\/conversation\/3103212","rel":"alternate","type":"text\/html"}]}